Evaluation of performance measures in predictive artificial intelligence models to support medical decisions: overview and guidance
Van Calster, B., Collins, G. S., Vickers, A. J., Wynants, L., Kerr, K. F., Barreñada, L., Varoquaux, G., Singh, K., Moons, K. G., Hernandez-Boussard, T., Timmerman, D., McLernon, D. J., van Smeden, M., Steyerberg, E. W., Topic Group 6 of the STRATOS initiative
Correction to: Navigating the complexities of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) from risk factors to outcome: insights from the UK Biobank cohort (BMC Nephrology, (2025), 26, 1, (168), 10.1186/s12882-025-04090-7)
Kar, D., Byng, R., Sheikh, A., Nath, M., Zabeen, B., Kar, S., Banu, S., Sarker, M. H. R., Khan, N., Acharjee, D., Islam, S., Allgar, V., Ordóñez-Mena, J. M., El-Wazir, A., Song, S., Verma, A., Kadam, U., de Lusignan, S.
Pregnancy, baby, and childhood outcomes from using anti-seizure medication during pregnancy
Moore, E., Millar, M., Merrick, R., Mueller, T., Stark, V., Jarvis, L., Kurdi, A., Hopkins, L., McTaggart, S., Vieira, R., Bennie, M., Wood, R.
Communications Medicine
Contributions to Journals: Articles
Comparative risk of end-stage renal disease, myocardial infarction and stroke in young and older onset diabetes in UK Biobank
Kar, D., Molokhia, M., Wierzbicki, A., Koziell, A., Byng, R., Spicer, S., Farina, N., Pinkney, J., Song, S., Zabeen, B., Kar, S., Jonnagaddala, J., Liaw, S., El-Wazir, A., Nath, M., Khan, M. A. B., Sheikh, A., de Lusignan, S.
Trends in neural tube defects in Scotland 2000-2021 prior to the introduction of mandatory folic acid fortification of non-wholemeal wheat flour: a population-based study
Kirolos, A., Vieira, R., Calvert, C., Griffiths, E., Wood, R.
Archives of Disease in Childhood, vol. 110, no. 11, pp. 878-884
Deprivation and limitations in daily life among people with new onset kidney disease: a population study
Cowan, E., Bell, S., Black, C., Blakeman, T., Fraser, S., Hughes, A., Keskindag, B., Methven, S., Nath, M., Nitsch, D., Rzewuska Diaz, M., Scholes-Robertson, N., Sawhney, S.
Spirometry to manage asthma in children: a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial (SPIROMAC)
Bell, V., Sergenson, N., Cotton, S., Emele, C. D., Thomas, R., Aucott, L., Forrest, M., Gaillard, E. A., Kennington, E., MacLennan, G., Sinha, I., Vadiveloo, T., Scott, N., Turner, S.
Trifluridine-tipiracil with bevacizumab for treating metastatic colorectal cancer after 2 systemic treatments [ID6298]: NICE Single Technology Appraisal
Cruickshank, M., Kilonzo, M., Ayansina, D., Kumar, S., Manson, P., Brazzelli, M., Samuel, L., Boyers, D.
Commissioned by National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Aberdeen HTA Group
Books and Reports: Commissioned Reports
Diversity in core surgical training: Trends between 2012 and 2022
A multivariate analysis to identify the relationship between sociodemographic differences and examination performance in UK postgraduate medical examinations
Ellis, R., Knapton, A., Cannon, J., Lee, A., Cleland, J.
Integrating PET-CT image processing and predictive analytic tools to assess risks of adverse outcomes in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients
Al Saairi, H. M. M., Welch, A., McKiddie, F., Nath, M.
Royal Statistical Society 2025 International Conference
Contributions to Conferences: Posters
Systematic review of prognostic models in Parkinson’s disease
Li, Y., McDonald-Webb, M., McLernon, D., Counsell, C., MacLeod, A.
Understanding and improving the acute care frailty pathway: A multistate modelling approach
Nath, M., Slessor, R., Evans, J., Van Woerden, H.
Contributions to Conferences
Universal versus targeted chlorhexidine and mupirocin decolonisation and clinical and molecular epidemiology of Staphylococcus epidermidis bloodstream infections in patients in intensive care in Scotland, UK: a controlled time-series and longitudinal genotypic study
Sharaf, S., Lawes, T., Roos, D., Okoliegbe, I., Alapati, S., Ribeiro, A., Nkene, I., Ghezzi, D., Reid, S. J., Austin, V., Ayansina, D., Wilson, B., Rehman, T., Parcell, B. J., Mellor, I., Marwick, C. A., Oggioni, M., Hijazi, K.
In-silico trials of targeted screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms using linked healthcare data: A study protocol
Musto, L., Saratzis, A., Nath, M., Katsogridakis, E., Elsworth, A., Bujkiewicz, S., Hobson, C., Lawson, C., Wallace, S., Gonzalez-Aguado, M., Smith, A., Hodgson, S., Yao, G. L., Miola, J., Bown, M. J.
Bisoprolol for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease at high risk of exacerbation: the BICS RCT
Devereux, G., Cotton, S., Nath, M., McMeekin, N., Campbell, K., Chaudhuri, R., Choudhury, G., De Soyza, A., Fielding, S., Gompertz, S., Haughney, J., Lee, A., MacLennan, G., Morice, A., Norrie, J., Price, D., Short, P., Vestbo, J., Walker, P., Wedzicha, J., Wilson, A., Wu, O., Lipworth, B.
Health Technology Assessment, vol. 29, no. 17, pp. i-xvi, 1-97
Differential attainment in UK postgraduate medical examinations: examining the relationship between sociodemographic differences and examination performance
Ellis, R., Knapton, A., Cannon, J., Lee, A. J., Cleland, J.
Navigating the complexities of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) from risk factors to outcome: insights from the UK Biobank cohort
Kar, D., Byng, R., Sheikh, A., Nath, M., Zabeen, B., Kar, S., Banu, S., Sarker, M. H. R., Khan, N., Acharjee, D., Islam, S., Allgar, V., Ordóñez-Mena, J. M., El-Wazir, A., Song, S., Verma, A., Kadam, U., de Lusignan, S.
Linking epidemiology and genomics of maternal smoking during pregnancy in utero and in ageing: a population-based study using human foetuses and the UK Biobank cohort
Mihov, M., Shoctor, H., Douglas, A., Hay, D. C., O'Shaughnessy, P. J., Iredale, J. P., Shaw, S., Fowler, P. A. F., Grassmann, F.
Activation of Neutrophil Extracellular Trap Formation in Patients with Heart Failure and a Preserved Ejection Fraction
van Essen, B. J., Tromp, J., Gevaert, A. B., de Jong, T. V., Ouwerkerk, W., Koekemoer, A., Djordjevic, D., Baumhove, L., Tharshana, G. N., Conde-Knape, K., Nath, M., Lang, C. C., Samani, N. J., Michaelsen, N. B. M., Voors, A. A.
Correction: The implementation and impact of non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for Down's syndrome into antenatal screening programmes: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Sebire, E., Rodrigo, C. H., Bhattacharya, S., Black, M., Wood, R., Vieira, R.
Big data analysis: examination of the relationship between candidates’ sociodemographic characteristics and performance in the UK’s Membership of the Royal College of Physicians Part 1 examination
Johnston, P., Vieira, R., Cameron, I., Kumwenda, B., Walker, K., Cleland, J.
Advances in Health Sciences Education, vol. 30, pp. 53-68
Exploring pre-diagnosis hospital contacts in women with endometriosis using ICD-10: a Danish case–control study
Melgaard, A., Vestergaard, C. H., Kesmodel, U. S., Risør, B. W., Forman, A., Zondervan, K. T., Nath, M., Ayansina, D., Saunders, P. T. K., Horne, A. W., Saraswat, L., Rytter, D.
A randomised, double-blind placebo controlled trial of the effectiveness of the beta-blocker bisoprolol in preventing exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Devereux, G., Cotton, S., Nath, M., McMeekin, N., Campbell, K., Chaudhuri, R., Choudhury, G., De Soyza, A., Fielding, S., Gompertz, S., Haughney, J., Lee, A., MacLennan, G., Morice, A., Norrie, J., Price, D., Short, P., Vestbo, J., Walker, P., Wedzicha, J. A., Wilson, A., Wu, O., Lipworth, B. J.
Health Technology Assessment
Contributions to Journals: Articles
Bisoprolol in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease-Reply
Individual and neighborhood-level social and deprivation factors impact kidney health in the GLOMMS-CORE study
Sawhney, S., Atherton, I., Blakeman, T., Black, C., Cowan, E., Croucher, C., Fraser, S. D., Hughes, A., Nath, M., Nitsch, D., Scholes-Robertson, N., Rzewuska Diaz, M.
Kidney International, vol. 106, no. 5, pp. 928-942
The UK resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta in trauma patients with life-threatening torso haemorrhage: The (UK-REBOA) multicentre RCT
Jansen, J. O., Hudson, J., Kennedy, C., Cochran, C., Maclennan, G., Gillies, K., Lendrum, R., Sadek, S., Boyers, D., Ferry, G., Lawrie, L., Nath, M., Cotton, S., Wileman, S., Forrest, M., Brohi, K., Harris, T., Lecky, F., Moran, C., Morrison, J. J., Norrie, J., Paterson, A., Tai, N., Welch, N., Campbell, M. K., UK-REBOA Study Group
Comparison of prehospital and in-hospital HEART scores in patients with possible myocardial infarction
Cooper, J. G., Donaldson, L. A., Coutts, A. J., Black, K. M. M., Ferguson, J., Livock, K. J., Horrill, J. L., Davidson, E. M., Scott, N. W., Lee, A. J., Fujisawa, T., Lee, K. K., Anand, A., Shah, A. S. V., Mills, N. L.
Academic emergency medicine, vol. 31, no. 9, pp. 929-932
Development and Validation of Prognostic Models Using Radiomic Features from Pre-Treatment Positron Emission Tomography (PET) Images in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC) Patients
Philip, M. M., Watts, J., McKiddie, F., Welch, A., Nath, M.
Bisoprolol in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease at High Risk of Exacerbation: The BICS Randomized Clinical Trial
Devereux, G., Cotton, S., Nath, M., McMeekin, N., Campbell, K., Chaudhuri, R., Choudhury, G., De Soyza, A., Fielding, S., Gompertz, S., Haughney, J., Lee, A. J., MacLennan, G., Morice, A., Norrie, J., Price, D., Short, P., Vestbo, J., Walker, P., Wedzicha, J., Wilson, A., Wu, O., Lipworth, B. J.
The implementation and impact of non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for Down's syndrome into antenatal screening programmes: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Sebire, E., Rodrigo, C. H., Bhattacharya, S., Black, M., Wood, R., Vieira, R.
Symptom duration, ambulance response and emergency department transfer time in relation to development of myocardial infarction in patients with chest pain
Milne, H., Raja, E. A., Cooper, J.
Contributions to Conferences: Papers
Does following an “excellent” candidate in the Objective Structured Clinical Examination affect your checklist score?
Brown, C. W., Watson, W., Macleod, M., Nath, M.
Journal of Applied Research in Higher Education, vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 891-903
Comparison of semi-automatic and manual segmentation methods for tumor delineation on head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) positron emission tomography (PET) images
Philip, M. M., Watts, J., Moeini, S. N. M., Musheb, M., McKiddie, F., Welch, A., Nath, M.
Physics in Medicine and Biology, vol. 69, no. 9, 095005
Could paramedics use the HEART Pathway to identify patients at low-risk of myocardial infarction in the prehospital setting?
Cooper, J. G., Ferguson, J., Donaldson, L. A., Black, K. M., Livock, K. J., Horrill, J. L., Davidson, E. M., Scott, N. W., Lee, A. J., Fujisawa, T., Lee, K. K., Anand, A., Shah, A. S., Mills, N. L.
Biomarker and transcriptomics profiles of serum selenium concentrations in patients with heart failure are associated with immunoregulatory processes
Al-Mubarak, A. A., Markousis Mavrogenis, G., Guo, X., De Bruyn, M., Nath, M., Romaine, S. P., Grote Beverborg, N., Arevalo Gomez, K., Zijlstra, S. N., van Veldhuisen, D. J., Samani, N. J., Voors, A. A., van der Meer, P., Bomer, N.
Use of Hand-Held Optical Coherence Tomography during Retinopathy of Prematurity (ROP) Screening demonstrates an increased Outer Retina from early Postmenstrual Age in Preterm Infants with ROP
Anwar, S., Nath, M., Patel, A., Tyradellis, S., Gottlob, I., Proudlock, F. A.
Short- and Long-Term Impact of Prior Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations on Healthcare Resource Utilization and Related Costs: An Observational Study (SHERLOCK)
de Nigris, E., Haughney, J., Lee, A. J., Nath, M., Müllerová, H., Holmgren, U., Ding, B.
COPD: Journal of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 92-100
Relationship of cardiorenal risk factors with albuminuria based on age, smoking, glycaemic status and BMI: a retrospective cohort study of the UK Biobank data
Kar, D., El-Wazir, A., Nath, M., Breeze, P., Jetha, K., Strong, M., Chilcott, J., Davies, M. J., Lee, A., Lusignan, S. d., Khunti, K., Adler, A., Goyder, E.
Emergency Department Resuscitative Endovascular Balloon Occlusion of the Aorta in Trauma Patients with Exsanguinating Hemorrhage: The UK-REBOA Randomized Clinical Trial
Jansen, J. O., Hudson, J., Cochran, C., MacLennan, G., Lendrum, R., Sadek, S., Gillies, K., Cotton, S., Kennedy, C., Boyers, D., Ferry, G., Lawrie, L., Nath, M., Wileman, S., Forrest, M., Brohi, K., Harris, T., Lecky, F., Moran, C., Morrison, J. J., Norrie, J., Paterson, A., Tai, N., Welch, N., Campbell, M. K., Aylwin, C., Bew, D., Brooks, A., Chinery, J., Cowlam, T., Frith, D., George, A., Hudson, A., Johnstone, P., Mahmood, A., Novak, A., O'Meara, M., Reid, S., Sattout, A., Smith, C., Stansfield, T., Thompson, J., UK-REBOA Study Group
Multiomics Analysis Provides Novel Pathways Related to Progression of Heart Failure
Ouwerkerk, W., Belo Pereira, J. P., Maasland, T., Emmens, J. E., Figarska, S. M., Tromp, J., Koekemoer, A. L., Nelson, C. P., Nath, M., Romaine, S. P., Cleland, J. G., Zannad, F., van Veldhuisen, D. J., Lang, C. C., Ponikowski, P., Filippatos, G., Anker, S., Metra, M., Dickstein, K., Ng, L. L., de Boer, R. A., van Riel, N., Nieuwdorp, M., Groen, A. K., Stroes, E., Zwinderman, A. H., Samani, N. J., Lam, C. S., Levin, E., Voors, A. A.
Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 82, no. 20, pp. 1921-1931
A systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive and prognostic models for outcome prediction using positron emission tomography radiomics in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients
Performance of a prehospital HEART score in patients with possible myocardial infarction: a prospective evaluation
Cooper, J. G., Ferguson, J., Donaldson, L. A., Black, K. M. M., Livock, K. J., Horrill, J. L., Davidson, E. M., Scott, N. W., Lee, A. J., Fujisawa, T., Lee, K. K., Anand, A., Shah, A. S. V., Mills, N. L.
Emergency Medicine Journal, vol. 40, no. 7, pp. 474-481
An Interactive Application Demonstrating Frequentist and Bayesian Inferential Frameworks
Nath, M.
Teaching Biostatistics in Medicine and Allied Health Sciences. Farnell, D. J. J., Medeiros Mirra, R. (eds.). Springer International Publishing AG, pp. 147-166, 20 pages
Chapters in Books, Reports and Conference Proceedings: Chapters
ESHRE good practice recommendations on recurrent implantation failure
Cimadomo, D., de Los Santos, M. J., Griesinger, G., Lainas, G., Le Clef, N., McLernon, D. J., Montjean, D., Toth, B., Vermeulen, N., Macklon, N., ESHRE Working Group on Recurrent Implantation Failure
Human Reproduction Open, vol. 2023, no. 3, hoad023
Early pregnancy outcomes of IVF cycles using donor versus partner sperm: analysis of 1 376 454 cycles recorded by the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (1991-2016)
Allen, C., McLernon, D., Bhattacharya, S., Maheshwari, A.
Human reproduction (Oxford, England), vol. 38, no. 6, pp. 1194-1201
Severity of cystoid macular oedema in preterm infants observed using hand-held spectral domain optical coherence tomography improves weekly with postmenstrual age
Anwar, S., Nath, M., Gottlob, I., Proudlock, F. A.