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The School of Biological Sciences

Professor Justin Travis

Professor Justin Travis
Professor Justin Travis
Professor Justin Travis

Personal Chair

About
Email Address
justin.travis@abdn.ac.uk
Telephone Number
+44 (0)1224 274483
Office Address

Room 407 Zoology Building

School/Department
School of Biological Sciences

Biography

2006 –     Lecturer (from 2008, Senior lecturer, and from, 2013 Professor) in Ecological and Evolutionary Modellinf, University of Aberdeen.

2004 – 2006   Senior Scientific Officer, NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Banchory, UK

2001- 2004    University of St Andrews, UK. Research Fellow in the Centre for Conservation Science.

1999 -2001    University of Lund, Sweden, Research fellow within the Climate Impacts Group

Degrees: PhD 1999 Imperial College London.    MSc 1996 University of York.     BSc(hons)1994 University of York

 

Memberships and Affiliations

Internal Memberships

Advisor of Studies ( 2009 - ).

External Memberships

Full member of NERC Peer Review College ( 2011 - ).

Subject Editor for Oikos ( 2010 - ).

Associate Editor for BMC Ecology ( 2011 - ).

Research

Research Overview

Much of my research uses models to study the population and evolutionary dynamics of spatially structured populations. Key interests include (1) the evolutionary ecology and population genetics of range expansions, (2) incorporating greater realism into the dispersal process within spatial population models, (3) evolvability (including the causes and consequences of mutation rate) and  (4) the evolutionary ecology of longevity.  While most of my group's work focusses on using stochastic individual-based models, I am increasingly interested in how these can be combined both with modern statistical methods (including Bayesian approaches) and analytical approximations to gain greater insights and predictive capabilities.

Funding and Grants

Substantial Grants Awarded Since 2012:

2018-2022 NERC Research Grant, "Forecasting biodiversity losses in Wallacea from ecological and evolutionary patterns and processes". PI of international team. (£850,000)

2018-2022 BBSRC Studentship Grant, "Using artificial intelligence to improve the forecast for biodiversity under environmental change" (£99,000)

2017-2021 NERC Research Grant, “Linking demographic theory and data to forecast the dynamics of spatially-structured seasonally-mobile populations” (£650,000). Co-I responsible for developing mechanistic migration models.

2017-2019 Marie Curie International Fellowship (Є215,000) Scientist in charge for Dr Aurore Ponchon.

2015-2016 STFC Newton AgriTech (£350,000) Local PI responsible for systems modelling of fire risk in China.

2015-2017 Marie Curie International Fellowship (Є220,000). Scientist in Charge for Dr Job Aben.

2012-2014 Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship (Є190,000). Scientist in Charge for Dr Kamil Barton.

2012-2015 NERC Responsive, PI “Managing Landscapes for Biodiversity Under Climate Change” (£355,000) 

Teaching

Teaching Responsibilities

Most of my teaching is at Masters level. In particular, I co-ordinate two modules, one on Population Ecology and one on Advanced Ecological Modelling. At undergraduate level, I contribute to several courses at both 3rd and 4th year, most substantially to 3rd year Population Ecology where I introduce ecological modelling.

Teaching Philosophy: I enjoy the challenge of making quantitative topics and programming accessible to as many students as possible, and this is the focus of most of my teaching. I believe that almost all students are capable of learning to program, and that many obtain considerable satisfaction from the realisation that they can master it. I am interested in employing active learning methods within quantitative courses that have traditionally relied heavily on often dry lectures. In my Masters teaching I have been using 'learning through teaching' methods where individuals are each guided in putting together material to teach their peers about a particular aspect of modeling. This is proving a very successful way of improving understanding and creates considerable enthusiasm.

Publications

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  • Costs of dispersal

    Bonte, D., Van Dyck, H., Bullock, J. M., Coulon, A., Delgado, M., Gibbs, M., Lehouck, V., Matthysen, E., Mustin, K., Saastamoinen, M., Schtickzelle, N., Stevens, V. M., Vandewoestijne, S., Baguette, M., Barton, K., Benton, T. G., Chaput-Bardy, A., Clobert, J., Dytham, C., Hovestadt, T., Meier, C. M., Palmer, S. C. F., Turlure, C., Travis, J. M. J.
    Biological Reviews, vol. 87, no. 2, pp. 290-312
    Contributions to Journals: Literature Reviews

  • Uncertainty and the role of information acquisition in the evolution of context-dependent emigration

    Bocedi, G., Heinonen, J., Travis, J. M. J.
    The American Naturalist, vol. 179, no. 5, pp. 606-620
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Risky movement increases the rate of range expansion

    Barton, K. A., Hovestadt, T., Phillips, B. L., Travis, J. M. J.
    Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences, vol. 279, no. 1731, pp. 1194-1202
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • An open source simulation model for soil and sediment bioturbation

    Schiffers, K., Teal, L. R., Travis, J. M. J., Solan, M.
    PloS ONE, vol. 6, no. 12, e28028
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Improving prediction and management of range expansions by combining analytical and individual-based modelling approaches

    Travis, J. M. J., Harris, C. M., Park, K. J., Bullock, J. M.
    Methods in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 2, no. 5, pp. 477-488
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Integrating demographic data and a mechanistic dispersal model to predict invasion spread of Rhododendron ponticum in different habitats

    Harris, C. M., Stanford, H. L., Edwards, C., Travis, J. M., Park, K. J.
    Ecological Informatics, vol. 6, no. 3-4, pp. 187-195
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Introducing a 'stochastic movement simulator' for estimating habitat connectivity

    Palmer, S. C. F., Coulon, A., Travis, J. M. J.
    Methods in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 258-268
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Density-regulated population dynamics and conditional dispersal alter the fate of mutations occurring at the front of an expanding population

    Muenkemueller, T., Travis, J. M. J., Burton, O. J., Schiffers, K., Johst, K.
    Heredity, vol. 106, no. 4, pp. 678-689
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Mutation surfing and the evolution of dispersal during range expansions

    Travis, J. M. J., Muenkemueller, T., Burton, O. J.
    Journal of Evolutionary Biology, vol. 23, no. 12, pp. 2656-2667
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Local adaptation and the evolution of species' ranges under climate change

    Atkins, K. E., Travis, J. M. J.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 266, no. 3, pp. 449-457
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Trade-offs and the evolution of life-histories during range expansion

    Burton, O. J., Phillips, B. L., Travis, J. M. J.
    Ecology Letters, vol. 13, no. 10, pp. 1210-1220
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Corrigendum: Towards a mechanistic understanding of dispersal evolution in plants: conservation implications (vol 16, pg 690, 2010)

    Travis, J. M. J.
    Diversity and Distributions, vol. 16, no. 5, pp. 877
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Dispersal costs and kin selection have a strong effect on the evolution of migratory strategy

    Komissarova, A., Travis, J. M. J., Redpath, S. M.
    Integrative and Comparative Biology, vol. 50, no. Suppl. 1, pp. E92
    Contributions to Journals: Abstracts

  • Towards a mechanistic understanding of dispersal evolution in plants: conservation implications

    Travis, J. M. J., Smith, H. S., Ranwala, S. M. W.
    Diversity and Distributions, vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 690-702
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Disappearing refuges in time and space: how environmental change threatens species coexistence

    Muenkemueller, T., Reineking, B., Travis, J. M. J., Bugmann, H., Johst, K.
    Theoretical Ecology, vol. 2, no. 4, pp. 217-227
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Is the cask of facilitation ready for bottling?: A symposium on the connectivity and future directions of positive plant interactions

    Pakeman, R. J., Pugnaire, F. I., Michalet, R., Lortie, C. J., Schiffers, K., Maestre, F. T., Travis, J. M. J.
    Biology Letters, vol. 5, no. 5, pp. 577-579
    Contributions to Journals: Editorials

  • Invasive species control: incorporating demographic data and seed dispersal into a management model for Rhododendron ponticum

    Harris, C. M., Park, K. J., Atkinson, R., Edwards, C., Travis, J. M. J.
    Ecological Informatics, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 226-233
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The effect of host movement on viral transmission dynamics in a vector-borne disease system

    Watts, E. J., Palmer, S. C. F., Bowman, A. S., Irvine, J., Smith, A., Travis, J. M. J.
    Parasitology, vol. 136, no. 10, pp. 1221-1234
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Accelerating invasion rates result from the evolution of density-dependent dispersal

    Travis, J. M. J., Mustin, K., Benton, T. G., Dytham, C.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 259, no. 1, pp. 151-158
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • How range shifts induced by climate change affect neutral evolution

    McInerny, G. J., Turner, J. R. G., Wong, H. Y., Travis, J. M. J., Benton, T. G.
    Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences, vol. 276, no. 1661, pp. 1527-1534
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Developing an integrated conceptual framework to understand biodiversity conflicts

    White, R. M., Fischer, A., Marshall, K., Travis, J. M. J., Webb, T. J., di Falco, S., Redpath, S. M., van der Wal, R.
    Land Use Policy, vol. 26, no. 2, pp. 242-253
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Using distribution models to test alternative hypotheses about a species' environmental limits and recovery prospects

    Anderson, B. J., Arroyo, B. E., Collingham, Y. C., Etheridge, B., Fernandez-De-Simon, J., Gillings, S., Gregory, R. D., Leckie, F. M., Sim, I. M. W., Thomas, C. D., Travis, J., Redpath, S. M.
    Biological Conservation, vol. 142, no. 3, pp. 488-499
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The evolution of an 'intelligent' dispersal strategy: biased, correlated random walks in patchy landscapes

    Barton, K. A., Phillips, B. L., Morales, J. M., Travis, J. M. J.
    Oikos, vol. 118, no. 2, pp. 309-319
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The dynamics of climate-induced range shifting: perspectives from simulation modelling

    Mustin, K., Benton, T. G., Dytham, C., Travis, J. M. J.
    Oikos, vol. 118, no. 1, pp. 131-137
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Thermal conditions during juvenile development affect adult dispersal in a spider

    Bonte, D., Travis, J. M. J., De Clercq, N., Zwertvaegher, I., Lens, L.
    PNAS, vol. 105, no. 44, pp. 17000-17005
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Landscape structure and boundary effects determine the fate of mutations occurring during range expansions

    Burton, O. J., Travis, J. M. J.
    Heredity, vol. 101, no. 4, pp. 329-340
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Evaluating the influence of epidemiological parameters and host ecology on the spread of Phocine Distemper virus through populations of harbour seals

    Harris, C. M., Travis, J. M. J., Harwood, J.
    PloS ONE, vol. 3, no. 7, e2710
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Reid's paradox revisited: The evolution of dispersal kernels during range expansion

    Phillips, B. L., Brown, G. P., Travis, J. M. J., Shine, R.
    The American Naturalist, vol. 172, no. S1, pp. S34-S48
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The frequency of fitness peak shifts is increased at expanding range margins due to mutation surfing

    Burton, O. J., Travis, J. M. J.
    Genetics, vol. 179, no. 2, pp. 941-950
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Facilitation in plant communities: the past, the present, and the future

    Brooker, R. W., Maestre, F. T., Callaway, R. M., Lortie, C. L., Cavieres, L. A., Kunstler, G., Liancourt, P., Tielboerger, K., Travis, J. M. J., Anthelme, F., Armas, C., Coll, L., Corcket, E., Delzon, S., Forey, E., Kikvidze, Z., Olofsson, J., Pugnaire, F., Quiroz, C. L., Saccone, P., Schiffers, K., Seifan, M., Touzard, B., Michalet, R.
    Journal of Ecology, vol. 96, no. 1, pp. 18-34
    Contributions to Journals: Literature Reviews

  • Scaling issues in long-term socio-ecological biodiversity research: a review of European cases

    Dirnbock, T., Bezak, P., Dullinger, S., Haberl, H., Lotze-Campen, H., Mirtl, M., Peterseil, J., Redpath, S., Singh, S. J., Travis, J. M. J., Wijdeven, S. M.
    Working Papers: Working Papers

  • Which species will succesfully track climate change? The influence of intraspecific competition and density dependent dispersal on range shifting dynamics

    Best, A. S., Johst, K., Muenkemueller, T., Travis, J. M. J.
    Oikos, vol. 116, no. 9, pp. 1531-1539
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Testing mechanistic models of seed dispersal for the invasive Rhododendron ponticum (L.)

    Stephenson, C. M., Kohn, D. D., Park, K. J., Atkinson, R., Edwards, C., Travis, J. M.
    Perspectives in plant ecology, evolution and systematics, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 15-28
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Deleterious mutations can surf to high densities on the wave front of an expanding population

    Travis, J. M. J., Muenkemueller, T., Burton, O. J., Best, A., Dytham, C., Johst, K.
    Molecular Biology and Evolution, vol. 24, no. 10, pp. 2334-2343
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Microcosm experiments can inform global ecological problems

    Benton, T. G., Solan, M., Travis, J. M. J., Sait, S. M.
    Trends in Ecology & Evolution, vol. 22, no. 10, pp. 516-521
    Contributions to Journals: Literature Reviews

  • Modelling species' range shifts in a changing climate: The impacts of biotic interactions, dispersal distance and the rate of climate change

    Brooker, R. W., Travis, J. M. J., Clark, E. J., Dytham, C.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 245, no. 1, pp. 59-65
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Range shifting on a fragmented landscape

    McInerny, G., Travis, J. M. J., Dytham, C.
    Ecological Informatics, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 1-8
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The distribution of positive and negative species interactions across environmental gradients on a dual-lattice model

    Travis, J. M. J., Brooker, R. W., Clark, E. J., Dytham, C.
    Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 241, no. 4, pp. 896-902
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Incorporating evolutionary processes into a spatially-explicit model: exploring the consequences of mink-farm closures in Denmark

    Hammershoj, M., Travis, J. M. J., Stephenson, C. M.
    Ecography, vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 465-476
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The impact of habitat loss and fragmentation on genetic drift and fixation time

    Ezard, T. H. G., Travis, J. M. J.
    Oikos, vol. 114, no. 2, pp. 367-375
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Evolving dispersal and age at death

    Dytham, C., Travis, J. M. J.
    Oikos, vol. 113, no. 3, pp. 530-538
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Habitat geometry, population viscosity and the rate of genetic drift

    Travis, J. M. J., Ezard, T. H. G.
    Ecological Informatics, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 153-161
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Modelling establishment probabilities of an exotic plant, Rhododendron ponticum, invading a heterogeneous, woodland landscape using logistic regression with spatial autocorrelation

    Stephenson, C. M., Mackenzie, M., Edwards, C., Travis, J. M. J.
    Ecological Modelling, vol. 193, no. 3-4, pp. 747-758
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Spatial processes can determine the relationship between prey encounter rate and prey density

    Travis, J. M. J., Palmer, S. C. F.
    Biology Letters, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 136-138
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • The interplay of positive and negative species interactions across an environmental gradient: insights from an individual-based simulation model

    Travis, J. M. J., Brooker, R. W., Dytham, C.
    Biology Letters, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 5-8
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Adaptation and propagule pressure determine invasion dynamics: insights from a spatially explicit model for sexually reproducing species

    Travis, J. M. J., Hammershoj, M., Stephenson, C. M.
    Evolutionary Ecology Research, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 37-51
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Spatial structure and the control of invasive alien species

    Travis, J. M. J., Park, K. J.
    Animal Conservation, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 321-330
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Mutators in space: the dynamics of high-mutability in a two-patch model

    Travis, E. R., Travis, J. M. J.
    Genetics, vol. 167, no. 1, pp. 513-522
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • A method for simulating patterns of habitat availability at static and dynamic range margins

    Travis, J. M. J., Dytham, C.
    Oikos, vol. 104, no. 2, pp. 410-416
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

  • Neighbourhood size, dispersal distance and the complex dynamics of the spatial Ricker model

    Travis, J. M. J.
    Population Ecology, vol. 45, no. 3, pp. 227-237
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
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