Beatriz Goulao


Complex designs in randomised clinical trials – a case study in dentistry


Oral health research is often a source of challenging data: statistical errors in the design, analysis and conclusions of dental research are frequently reported; when clinical outcomes are collected, they have an inherently hierarchical structure (e.g. teeth nested within people who are often nested within dental practices) with often non-normal distributions that can be challenging to analyse and present; outcome assessment becomes a challenge due to measurement errors and reliability of the data collected.

IQuaD is a randomised controlled trial (RCT) in dentistry using a complex design and is the motivating example for this PhD. IQuaD uses a split-plot design with cluster-level (68 dental practices) and individual-level (1,877 dental patients) randomisation that presents challenges for sample size calculation, analysis and reporting. IQuaD’s primary outcome is bleeding on probing, a measure of gingivitis collected through clinical assessment.

The PhD will address challenges in split-plot designs and the difficulty and costs of measuring clinical gingival bleeding in a large scale, multicentre pragmatic RCT by investigating the methodological implications for different ways of clinically measuring gingival bleeding and by assessing the diagnostic performance of several new self-reported measures. 

The thesis will be focused on the following objectives:

  • Conduct a systematic review to identify split-plot designs used in healthcare research and describe their methodology and develop guidance on its report
  • Develop simulation methods to calculate a sample size in a split-plot design under a variety of assumptions and provide guidance on how to do it
  • Assess the diagnostic performance of a set of new self-reported bleeding questions compared to clinical bleeding on probing and update a systematic review about the diagnostic performance of other self-reported bleeding measures
  • Assess the statistical implications of collecting repeated clinical bleeding measures in the IQuaD RCT and inform future trials based on this

Supervision: Professor Craig Ramsay and Mr Graeme Maclennan


Beatriz Goulao;


Data Collection - Ongoing


Strengths and limitations of split-plot designs: an application in oral health research, 7th International Conference in Methodological Issues in Oral Health Research, Bergen 11-13 May 2016

Split-plot designs in healthcare: an overview, International Conference of Clinical Biostatistics, Birmingham 22-24 August